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Learn the market
Prediction Markets
A staged path from the basic idea to pricing, settlement, fees and risk.
Start here Beginner Guide →
What Are Prediction Markets?
Definition, examples and boundaries
How Prediction Markets Work
Contracts, prices and settlement
Probability Pricing
Read prices as changing estimates
Market Resolution
Rules, sources and edge cases
Fees, Liquidity & Risk
Costs, spread and position risk
Prediction Market Analysis
Evidence-led research methods
Follow the event
Event Trading
Connect real-world catalysts to market questions, evidence and probability moves.
Section home Event Trading Hub →
What Is Event Trading?
A concise definition and examples
Event Trading Strategies
Structured research patterns
Reading Probability Movements
Interpret repricing without overclaiming
Breaking Events and Markets
Live-event examples and limitations
Event Market Reaction Database
Verified data, charts and downloads
Risk Management
Position sizing and no-entry rules
Neutral comparison first
Platforms
Start with source-backed comparison, then move to availability, reviews and platform-specific rules.
Platforms home Compare Platforms →
Polymarket Review
Funding, resolution and risks
Kalshi Review
Fees, access and market rules
PredictIt Guide
Political markets, fees and limits
Availability Tracker
Official access notes and caveats
Platform Finder
Match platforms to visitor intent
Prediction Market Scanner
Search current market data
Practical library
Guides
Rules, costs, resolution and liquidity guides grouped by the decision they support.
Browse all All Guides →
How to Read Market Rules
Check conditions before entering
Prediction Market Fees
Compare cost paths and caveats
Kalshi Fees Explained
Formula and worked examples
PredictIt Fees and Limits
Withdrawal friction and constraints
Polymarket Resolution Disputes
Proposals, challenges and UMA
Liquidity and Spread
Depth, slippage and entry checks
Calculate and verify
Tools & Data
Put mechanics into practice, compare access, scan markets and download research data.
Tools home Browse All Tools →
YES/NO Contract Calculator
Cost, payout, loss and fees
Beginner Risk Simulator
Model sequence and drawdown risk
Platform Availability Tracker
Access notes from official sources
Prediction Market Scanner
Grouped current market discovery
Reaction Database
Verified cases and research exports
Platform Comparison Database
Source-backed platform facts
Analysis & Intelligence
Market Insights
Primary-source event case studies, platform policy and fee updates, regulatory advisories, and cross-market reaction data.
Section home Browse Market Insights →
2026 Event Case Studies
View all (5) →
Platform & Regulatory Updates
All notes →
Polymarket Sports Fees
Taker fee and maker rebate updates
Kalshi Weather Resolution
Official NOAA data source changes
CFTC Incentive Advisory
Regulatory filing & compliance notes
Market Reactions & Comparisons